### Sleeping Beauty Paradox

The paradox imagines that Sleeping Beauty volunteers to undergo the following experiment. On Sunday she is given a drug that sends her to sleep. A fair coin is then tossed just once in the course of the experiment to determine which experimental procedure is undertaken. If the coin comes up heads, Beauty is awakened and interviewed on Monday, and then the experiment ends. If the coin comes up tails, she is awakened and interviewed on Monday, given a second dose of the sleeping drug, and awakened and interviewed again on Tuesday. The experiment then ends on Tuesday, without flipping the coin again. The sleeping drug induces a mild amnesia, so that she cannot remember any previous awakenings during the course of the experiment (if any). During the experiment, she has no access to anything that would give a clue as to the day of the week. However, she knows all the details of the experiment.

Each interview consists of one question, "What is your credence now for the proposition that our coin landed heads?"

This problem is considered paradoxical because the answer is often given as either 1/3 or 1/2.

Think!! :)

Detailed analysis in the wikipedia article : http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sleeping_Beauty_problem

Each interview consists of one question, "What is your credence now for the proposition that our coin landed heads?"

This problem is considered paradoxical because the answer is often given as either 1/3 or 1/2.

Think!! :)

Detailed analysis in the wikipedia article : http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sleeping_Beauty_problem

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